The CFO'S Perspective

We’ve all heard about “phishing” – malicious emails. As Microsoft notes below, they’re hugely popular among cyber thieves. They also happen to be hugely lucrative (which is why they’re so popular!).  

Uncertainty, a term frequently mentioned by business leaders today, essentially refers to business risk - an area CFOs often focus on. Let's delve into the various types of risk a business may face.

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) was a sudden jolt to the banking system. SVB was a leading financial institution founded in 1983 that catered to the tech industry. This unexpected development has had far-reaching consequences, particularly regarding risk evaluation for Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) tasked with assessing and mitigating potential risks within their organizations.

I am pleased to note that First Citizens Bank (Nasdaq: FCNCA) announced on March 27, 2023, that it entered into an agreement with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to purchase all of the assets and liabilities of Silicon Valley Bridge Bank, N.A. The transaction is structured as a whole bank purchase and assumption agreement with loss share coverage. Silicon Valley Bank is now a division of First Citizens Bank.

While the acquisition of SVB by First Citizens is a successful one, there are lessons to be learned from the original event. In this article, I will explore the fallout, identify the emerging risks, and discuss what I think it means for CFOs as they navigate an increasingly complex risk landscape.

“How do you build a three-year financial model?” It’s a question we get (and answer) a lot.

A financial model is a type of financial projection that pulls together important data to allow organizations to analyze their current financial position and predict their future financial position. While effective financial modeling takes significant time and expertise to complete, the considerable benefits provided make it well worth the investment. Financial modeling is an essential tool used to manage risk, allocate resources, make smart investments, secure funding, and develop long-term growth strategies.

Some projections are over a longer time horizon while others only cover a short time horizon. However, whether your financial model covers two, three, five, or ten years, it’s important to understand what it should accomplish, why you should do one, and what it should include. Find out now why you need financial modeling and how to build a financial model for your organization that will offer the insights needed to make key strategic decisions.

We’re trying something new today by giving our readers access to insights from an internal conversation we’ve been having! In a recent team meeting our experienced CFOs were discussing what organizations can do to get ready for a recession or economic downturn. The list of tips that our team came up with to prepare your business for a recession offers great advice for for-profit and non-profit entities alike, no matter what the future holds. Below is the result of that brainstorming session.

Have you ever had a conversation that went something like this?

CEO: “So, do you have an update on our insurance?”

CFO: “Well, I have good news and bad news.”

CEO: “Bad news first, please. Always.”

CFO: “I took a look at The Company’s coverages and talked with our broker. The bad news is that our insurance bill is going up, way up.”

CEO (interrupting): “By how much? We’re kind of tight right now.”

CFO: “The premium increase will be almost 40% over last year. We might want to shop it. But the good news is…”

CEO (interrupting again): “Let me guess - another invitation from the insurance broker to a charity golf event in the month of November?”

CFO: “Actually the good news is that this year we have identified some significant gaps in our coverage. We have the opportunity to close those gaps now to better protect The Company in the future from significant financial risk.”

CEO (looking unconvinced): “Oh?”

CFO: “With our new advisory board of directors, we will need D&O insurance. Also, the broker has been recommending cyber insurance for the last several years, but The Company continues to put off purchasing any kind of coverage in this area. I strongly recommend that we should cover ourselves in this area.”

Regardless of what precipitates a recession, economic ebbs and flows are to be expected over time. Recessions can be caused by a period of contraction that inevitably comes after economic expansion or a sudden and unexpected economic shock.

While the coronavirus recession is fresh on our minds, it is not the first nor will it be the last recession that today’s businesses face. Knowing how to weather a recession is an essential management skill regardless of how long it lasts. However, facing a prolonged recession poses unique challenges that can test even the most adept leaders.

Our team of experienced CFOs shares their top tips on getting through a recession and coming out stronger on the other side:

A recession or downturn in the market is one of the most demanding scenarios for senior leadership to weather because there are so many possible responses to consider. Each decision leadership makes during this critical time can have a significant effect on the company’s ability to come out on the other side at all, let alone seize available opportunities to grow in the process. So, how can you strategically invest in your business during a downturn to increase the likelihood that it will be able to emerge stronger?

It is critical to act swiftly instead of ignoring the warning signs that a downturn is coming, worsening, or may last longer than anticipated. However, that does not mean giving into kneejerk reactions. A Harvard Business Review article summarizes it best by saying,

“Inaction is the riskiest response to the uncertainties of an economic crisis. But rash or scattershot action can be nearly as damaging. Rising anxiety (how much worse are things likely to get? how long is this going to last?) and the growing pressure to do something often produces a variety of uncoordinated moves that target the wrong problem or overshoot the right one.”

Have honest conversations with your leadership team to solicit feedback on how to proceed while leaning on the data. Focus on efforts on strategically managing expenses, acquiring assets to achieve your goals, prioritizing customer relationships, and developing new markets while focusing on your core competencies.